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Around SBN: Preakness 2012: I'll Have Another Wins Again

What In The Heck Are The A's Doing?

The A's acquired Bartolo Colon and Seth Smith shortly after committing to Coco Crisp. What is their plan?

Jan 17, 2012 - The Oakland A's are in full rebuilding mode. They traded two young, cheap, and cost-controlled pitchers for baskets of prospects. The calendar they are planning to give away at the ballpark is filled with players who are gone.

The Oakland A's are signing and trading for veterans. They're acquiring worthwhile players to fill out their lineup and rotation.

Both are true. It seems oxymoronic, but both descriptions make a good amount of sense. While we were chuckling about their faceless outfield from a couple of months ago, the A's went and got a bunch of name-brand players. Well, maybe not name brand. But to put it in designer clothing terms, the A's are at least shopping at Target instead of stealing from the donation boxes outside of the local church. Seth Smith, Bartolo Colon, Coco Crisp … these are all players that other teams would want.

It seems that the binary set of rebuilding/contending is one that leaves out too many shades of gray, especially when it comes to the A's. The A's are rebuilding, but they're also making an attempt to put an interesting team on the field, without blocking prospects at the same time. Take their lineup, as MLB Depth Charts has it right now:

Jemile Weeks - 2B
Coco Crisp - CF
Josh Reddick - RF
Seth Smith - LF
Brandon Allen - DH
Kurt Suzuki - C
Daric Barton - 1B
Scott Sizemore - 3B
Cliff Pennington - SS

Every single one of those players makes a certain amount of sense for a major league team. It's a mix of unknowns, unprovens, and low-cost veterans, and not one of them makes you wrinkle your nose in disgust. Barton was awful last year, but he had a 120 OPS+ and a .393 OBP the season before. Pennington is a defensive standout (depending on your metric of choice), which makes his bat playable at short. Same with Suzuki at catcher. Allen has the potential to be the DH that the A's have been trying to create in a lab for the past decade.

And so on. Every player in the lineup has some mix of limited upside and short-term potential. That's not exactly the formula with the projected rotation, but there's an interesting mix there too:

Brandon McCarthy
Bartolo Colon
Brad Peacock
Tom Milone
Jarrod Parker

The top two starters were excellent last year. The #3 and #5 slots are ostensibly filled with top prospects. And even if he's a soft-tossing left-hander, Milone has absurd minor-league numbers that could play well in the cavernous O.co Coliseum. Again, it's possible to look at every single player and conclude that they belong on a major-league roster. More than that, they'd belong on a roster of a team looking to win more games than they lose.

Is that to say that the A's will compete for the AL West? No. If Albert Pujols retires tomorrow, he'll still finish with a higher OPS than Barton. The Angels and Rangers are far too talented to both fall prey to a miracle season. One of them could melt into a puddle. Two of them doing it while everything goes right for the A's? That's once-a-decade stuff, if that. The A's aren't delusional.

But they're committed to being interesting, such as it is. Maybe not to the casual fan -- Sizemoremania doesn't exactly provoke StubHub servers to fail -- but in a general, "Say, these guys might not be so bad" kind of way.

Meanwhile, the Astros will pick higher than the A's in the 2013 Rule 4 and Rule 5 Drafts, and if they can unload Wandy Rodriguez and/or any part of Carlos Lee's contract, they'll likely spend less money, too. They're melting the team down to get at the gold fillings. They're going to cycle through all manner of prospects, projects, and rejects. Fernando Martinez is just the start. And they'll probably lose 100 games while doing it.

The A's lineup is filled with interesting names, but it's a lineup that trends far more towards competence than upside. It's not a stretch to think that there isn't a single member of that lineup who will still be around for the next good A's team. And in the interim, they'll win just enough games to futz with their draft position. That doesn't seem like a big deal, but the difference between the top five picks in the amateur draft and the 25 picks that follow is a pretty substantial one.

The Astros are rebuilding, as are the A's, but the two organizations are going about it in very different ways. The A's aren't burning the team to the foundations and playing any guy with a scintilla of promise, hoping to win the surprise-breakout lottery. They're putting together an interesting team. The Astros are looking for raffle tickets until they can rebuild the farm. Both are viable strategies. The A's will be more watchable, but they won't automatically have the quickest path to contention. Whatever they're doing over there, it's sort of fascinating*.

* To baseball nerds. Not to people who buy tickets and merchandise. That's a big, unfortunate difference.

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Grant Brisbee

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Grant Brisbee has been the lead writer for McCovey Chronicles since 2005, when the San Francisco Giants-themed site became the second blog on the SB Nation network. He graduated from San Jose State... Read full bio


Comments

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Excellent Work.

You are a jewel among the wretched sea of Giants fans.

The money shot was in the footnote:

* To baseball nerds. Not to people who buy tickets and merchandise. That’s a big, unfortunate difference.

I am also going to have fun watching Carter and Taylor to see if they’ll finally crack the roster for good. But yes, this is baseball-nerd stuff, not tickets and merch stuff. As far as casual fans are concerned, they blew the team up.

Most fans wanted the A’s to re-sign Willingham….this is so far off of that concept that the few remaining fans they have left I am sure are starting to leave as well.

by Billy Frijoles on Jan 17, 2012 11:32 AM EST reply actions  

Awwww.... we heart you too, li'l buddy. /tousles hair

Seriously, though, I’m no circa-1989 split-cap wearer, but neither have I any real beef with our (clownb)AL-playin’ counterparts.

Maybe I’m looking too hard for conspiracies because Lew Wolff seems like a horrible human being, but doesn’t it seem to you that these moves are designed to alienate the casual fan, what with the re-ignition of the South Bay issue?

11 01 10
Veni Vidi Vixi

by WhereThere'sAWillieThere'sAMays on Jan 17, 2012 12:03 PM EST up reply actions  

That would be the Jeffery Loria ownership model

Go through the motions to look like you’re competing while actually dropping your payroll to the point where you can turn a profit from the revenue sharing. Sure, it alienates fans, but that just makes it easier for you to make the case you need a new stadium in a different location.

Of course it appears the Loria endgame involves finally getting that stadium and then completely losing your mind, so I’m not sure it’s the best model. But who knows, maybe the evil genius has one last twist to add to this tale.

by J0SER on Jan 18, 2012 4:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, that's the problem

Beane is distracted by all the kids brought home by his wife, Angelina Jolie.

by J0SER on Jan 18, 2012 4:13 AM EST up reply actions  

As a non-MLB employee or broadcaster...

You have the right to call their ballpark “Oakland Coliseum,” no matter what deal the county’s jackleg marketing team may have recently struck. Food for thought (and for future columns!).

by Jhimmibhob on Jan 17, 2012 12:08 PM EST reply actions  

That really did trip me up.

I was going to make a joke about it, but then that would have required me to think about it, so I just ran away mid-sentence and had someone else finish that sentence.

by Grant Brisbee on Jan 17, 2012 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Looks like the A's will be as exciting...

as my Mets this year.

Although I’ll be rooting for the Phillies. Tried that last year and it was much more fun!

by aronofsky40 on Jan 17, 2012 2:16 PM EST reply actions  

Milone is actually a lefty, which makes his softtossiness a little easier to take.

Ah-iggit

by doctawojo on Jan 17, 2012 2:56 PM EST reply actions  

Please!

Don’t let them finish better than the Ms!

"People ask me what I do in winter when there's no baseball. I'll tell you what I do. I stare out the window and wait for spring". ~Rogers Hornsby

by extavernmouse on Jan 17, 2012 3:58 PM EST reply actions  

Easy distinction

Good article. Well the difference is that BB and FO have been forced to do this for years. And while the league and other teams have their territorial rights held hostage for a new stadium, they will have to continue to do so. Even when they were good it was through the youth movement and I am pretty sure they know that the players they need to build around are not there. Not though a lack of gambling though. Cargo was the obvious mistake but if you adjust his numbers to the Coliseum and not the Coors multiplier he is a very very very different looking player. Just looking at his splits…….

Needless to say, the Astros are really only a year into this youth movement where they have to assess the youngsters. Sure we know they will flop, but that also comes with replacing your GM in the offseason and establishing in house rules and all that higher level items we don’t know about. Budget, organizing minors, coaching………… The obvious difference being that when they clear their slop out they will have a much higher operating budget than the A’s. As a major market team, they don’t have the same worries as the Pirates or A’s and can go all in on a FA class. So as the fourth largest market in the US, they can afford to make mistakes just because their budget is that much larger.

With that being said, the thing that irks me is the ball park for the A’s. You have an organization who has done well under constraints for years. Tried to put a good product out on the field for the fans continually, yet D-Head Loria gets a bagel cutter for a stadium and all kinds of revenue. Low ball tactics and continually just trying to operate below budget. I guess their saving grace is two WS championships.

by hessshaun on Jan 18, 2012 10:06 AM EST reply actions  

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