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FanGraphs: Yankees Land Potential Ace, Don't Pay Retail

FanGraphs' Dave Cameron has weighed in on the big Yankees-Mariners trade, and he's not alone in thinking the Yankees picked up a great young power arm for a bargain price:

Pineda is the third quality young arm to get traded this winter, following the trades that shipped Gio Gonzalez to Washington and Mat Latos to Cincinnati. Given that both pitchers come with one fewer year of team control and lack Pineda’s dominating fastball, a strong case could be made that the Yankees new starter is the most valuable asset of the three guys that were moved. However, compared to the other two packages surrendered, the Yankees didn’t really pay much of a premium to get Pineda, and one could even make an argument that they gave up less value overall than what the Reds surrendered to get Latos.

I think it's absolutely true that the Yankees made out well in this deal, especially compared to the Reds.

Which doesn't mean it's going to be a great deal for the Yankees. Jesus Montero might become a great major-league hitter, and Michael Pineda might blow out his elbow this summer. And the other two players in the trade, both of them solid prospects, could easily swing this thing one way or the other.

Today, though? The Yankees are looking pretty good, and the Mariners have picked up a 22-year-old designated hitter.

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I think he'll catch, Rob.

I think he’ll catch quite a lot. The Mariners have Roger Hansen and Eric Wedge to help him succeed where Miguel Olivo is a big fat failure. He’ll at least do it for a couple years before his bat develops premium enough to warrant shedding the tools of ignorance for fear they shall erode his offensive skills.

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Just North of Wrigley Field

@JamesDaBear

by jameslcrockett on Jan 14, 2012 3:44 AM EST reply actions  

I think he'll catch too.

I agree with @JamesDaBear. The Mariners are going to give Montero every chance to catch. And I’d wager $1,000 of my hard-earned money that Montero is at least the equal, if not better than, Rob Johnson or Miguel Olivo behind the dish.

Tough to lose Pineda, but the M’s have pitching help on the way. They needed a bat. If this deal needs a “winner” then, okay, it’s the Yankees. Fine. But I think the better analysis is this is a pure baseball trade that benefits both sides.

by The Weave on Jan 14, 2012 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

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