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Hideki Irabu, Kosuke Fukudome And The Future Of Japanese Players In MLB

Jul 29, 2011 - The death Thursday of Hideki Irabu, by apparent suicide, serves as a sad reminder of how highly sought after he was when he joined Major League Baseball in 1997.

Hideo Nomo had become the first native Japanese to pitch in the major leagues since the mid-1960s when he made his splashy, Rookie of the Year debut with the Dodgers in 1995. That sent a wave of American scouts to Japan, with teams frantically trying to make deals with Japanese players and teams. Irabu's NPB (Nippon Professional Baseball) team, the Chiba Lotte Marines, arranged a deal with the San Diego Padres, with whom they had a working agreement; Irabu would become a Padre in exchange for the Marines being able to observe major league spring training, and a couple of low-level minor leaguers.


Baseball Nation: Hideki Irabu Dead, Apparent Suicide

 

Irabu refused to go. He said he'd play for no one but the Yankees. This set off negotiations; eventually, the Yankees sent outfield prospect Ruben Rivera (hey! another bust!), minor leaguer Rafael Medina and $3 million to San Diego for Irabu's rights. More contentious negotiations followed; Irabu eventually got an $8.5 million signing bonus and a four-year, $12.5 million contract, back when $12.5 million was real money.

And he was a flop. George Steinbrenner famously called Irabu a "fat pussy toad" when he failed to cover first base during a spring-training game; he was awful with the Yankees and eventually exiled to baseball's Siberia, the Montreal Expos. He last pitched in the major leagues with the Texas Rangers in 2004 and had a brief fling with the Long Beach Armada of the independent Golden League in 2009.

This didn't stop the flood of Japanese players headed to the major leagues, more than 40 in all, many highly touted: Shigetoshi Hasegawa, Kenji Johjima, Shingo Takatsu, Kazuo Matsui, Tsuyoshi Shinjo, Kazuhisa Ishii, the $46 million Kei Igawa (another Yankee bust, still pitching in their farm system), and perhaps most famously of all, Daisuke Matsuzaka.

Matsuzaka wasn't the first Japanese player to sign a major-league contract via the "posting" system (Ichiro Suzuki was), which was created as a direct result of the Irabu mess, but he was by far the most expensive. Japanese players who aren't free agents (it takes nine years to get there in NPB) can be "posted" by their teams; MLB teams can submit sealed bids. The "winning" MLB team gets only the rights to sign the player; the Japanese team gets the posting fee if the player is actually signed (which they almost always are). In all, it took over $100 million to get Matsuzaka, considered the best pitcher in Japan at the time, to the Red Sox.

Even the wealthy Red Sox must regret that deal. And surely, the Cubs regret the $48 million they spent on the just-traded Kosuke Fukudome, who was reported to be the best hitter in Japan at the time of his December 2007 signing. Fukudome's power numbers never translated to the USA and though his OBP (career .369) and defense have been major league quality, he wound up as an expensive platoon player, shipped to the Indians this week for a couple of prospects.

Apart from Ichiro and Hideki Matsui, no Japanese position players have been able sustain success (more than two or three years) in MLB. Why is this? Part of it may be a cultural adjustment, being far from home and family and apart from an interpreter, not being able to converse even casually with teammates. Part of it may be the larger MLB parks and better MLB pitching; the fact that marginal major leaguers like Tuffy Rhodes and Matt Murton have gone to Japan and become All-Stars is telling.

Another, perhaps more critical, factor may be that most of the Japanese failures have been players signed after the age of 30. They have already had their primes in Japan, and MLB teams are paying for it. Given the large number of failures, and huge dollars paid to players like Fukudome and Dice-K, we may see a pullback in the number of Japanese players headed to MLB in the near future, with the exception of someone like Yu Darvish, who may wind up being posted after this season; Darvish, the son of a Japanese mother and Iranian father, is physically larger than most Japanese and doesn't turn 25 until next month.

So the flood of Japanese players over the last 15 years may slow to a trickle; this will get only the best of the best to MLB, reducing the number of bad contracts sent across the Pacific. It may have another effect as well -- keeping most of Japan's biggest stars in Japan, helping their two major leagues, which have suffered from all the MLB signings.

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Al Yellon

Editor

Al Yellon is a Cubs fan. For that, he hopes you will indulge him. He's seen Cubs failures since 1969, including the agonizingly close playoff misses in 1984 and 2003. For that, at least a bit of... Read full bio


Comments

Display:

Ryal Vogelsong was marginal in Japan

And his teammate at the time, Chris Resop, was worse than him.

by infimum on Jul 29, 2011 3:39 PM EDT reply actions  

True.

Some MLB players don’t make it in Japan. But many do, and do better than they did in MLB. That seems to be more true for position players than pitchers.

And remember, Vogelsong wasn’t any good in MLB until this year, either.

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by Al Yellon on Jul 29, 2011 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

There could be an East Coast/West Coast dynamic here

The added distance from Japan and greater media intensity that accompanies the Northeast markets give the Western teams an advantage. With Kuroda, Otsuka, Sasaki, Johjima, Hasegawa, and of course Ichiro, I would guess that the West has a higher success rate than the East, though there are exceptions.

Still, Irabu’s case is special and shouldn’t have any bearing on how MLB teams gauge Japanese talent. Irabu was easily good enough to pitch in the MLB – I think he was Pitcher of the Month at some point with the Yankees. For lack of a better term, his emotional makeup prevented him from realizing his potential rather than any on-field factors.

by ken on Jul 29, 2011 4:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Hideki Matsui did fine in New York...

… so while you may be on to something, it’s not one-size-fits-all.

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by Al Yellon on Jul 29, 2011 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think a big factor, which may be in the process of being proven, is the NPB ball

Until this season, there were up to 4 different balls that NPB teams could use. The widely used Mizuno one carried more than the Rawlings MLB ball and was slightly different in dimensions (narrower seams, etc).

This year, NPB has universally adopted a new ball from Mizuno that has slightly wider seams and is closer in size and performance to the MLB ball (pitchers who have used both have said as much). They’ve just gotten to the All-Star Break in Japan and offense across the league has been way down. Players and observers are attributing much of this to the new ball. If this holds up, we may get a more accurate idea of how NPB players might do in MLB from now on. Here is a translated article on the new ball.

I don’t think the stadiums have too much to do with it. Their dimensions are a little different, but most are around 400 to CF and ~315ish down the lines, at least from what I know. I do think culture and higher level of competition are factors, though, along with the different balls that were used prior to 2011.

Scioscialist Party of America - Redistributing your defense since 2000.

by Commander_Nate on Jul 29, 2011 5:04 PM EDT reply actions  

I have been to Japan and seen a couple of the stadiums.

They’re hitters’ havens. The ball may have something to do with it, as you note.

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by Al Yellon on Jul 29, 2011 5:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lucky man!

I wanna do that someday soon. It’s been on my list since I went to the 2009 WBC Final and sat in that insane crowd. I’ve only been able to catch a few games here and there on the internet since.

What would you say average dimensions are? Kinda hard to get a feel for the size of the field on TV and the internet, I guess.

Scioscialist Party of America - Redistributing your defense since 2000.

by Commander_Nate on Jul 29, 2011 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

They're a little smaller than MLB parks.

As you note, down the lines they’re quite a bit shorter. That’s why MLB players with uppercut swings, who hit warning track flyouts in MLB, hit home runs in Japan.

I went to the Cubs/Mets opening series there in 2000. Saw two parks, the Tokyo Dome and the Seibu Dome. Both launching pads.

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by Al Yellon on Jul 29, 2011 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

...at the same time,

they’re almost all close to sea level, too…

HEY, FRENCHY! STAR TREK OR STAR WARS?

by DbacksSkins on Aug 3, 2011 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

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