Jul 24, 2011 - The day of Bert Blyleven's entry into Baseball's hallowed Hall of Fame is a day for celebration, so let's begin with a celebration of Blyleven's illustrious career
Bert Blyleven last pitched in the major leagues almost 25 years ago, yet he still occupies the following spots on Major League Baseball's all-time lists:
* 27th in wins,
* 14th in innings pitched,
* 13th in Wins Above Replacement,
* ninth in shutouts, and
* fifth in strikeouts.
Not coincidentally, Blyleven also threw one of the most devastating curveballs anyone's ever seen. In this book, Bill James and I ranked Blyleven's bender as the third greatest in major-league history, behind only Sandy Koufax and Three Finger Brown.
Looking at those numbers (and that curveball, if you ever saw it), you might figure that Blyleven sailed into the Hall of Fame, like most of the game's greatest pitchers. Blyleven certainly thought he would.
He didn't, and he wasn't shy about his frustration. Recently he said, "I vented a little bit, probably in my fourth or fifth year [on the ballot] because I thought these writers just weren't getting it. Look at where my numbers compare with guys who are in the Hall of Fame."
I looked. You looked. Bill James looked. Rich Lederer looked. Rich Lederer really looked. We all saw a pitcher who belonged in the Hall of Fame.
But for a long, long time the writers -- the writers in the Base Ball Writers Association of America, who vote for Hall of Famers -- just didn't see it that way. The writers have made a great number of mistakes over the years, most of them ultimately rectified. But if you're looking for evidence that the writers have massive blind spots, look no further than their history with Bert Blyleven.
In his first year on the ballot, Blyleven was named on 17 percent of the ballots. In his second year, he dropped to 14 percent. He didn't cross the 50-percent threshold until his ninth try.
Think about that ... For eight years -- and presumably the six years before that, too, when he wasn't yet on the ballot, which makes 14 years -- more than half the (supposed) greatest baseball experts in the world didn't think that Bert Blyleven and his 287 wins, 60 shutouts and his 3,701 strikeouts belonged in the Hall of Fame.
Of course it seems preposterous now, and all the guys who voted for him this time around, all 79.7 percent of them, will probably say it was just a matter of time. But the truth is that if not for Rich Lederer's one-man campaign, Blyleven might still be waiting. Fortunately, Blyleven's mom is still going strong at 85, and she was planning to attend the induction ceremony this weekend. Unfortunately, all those foolish writers who failed for so many years to vote for Blyleven did keep his father from attending; Joe Blyleven died of Parkinson's Disease in 2004.
Being in the Hall of Fame doesn't make Bert Blyleven a better pitcher, all of a sudden. In your mind and mine, Blyleven's exactly the same pitcher tomorrow as yesterday.
But let's not pretend that being in the Hall of Fame doesn't matter. It obviously matters a great deal to him, and presumably to those close to him. That's enough. That's enough for the writers to take their duties as Hall of Fame voters seriously. And while I prefer to think the best of my colleagues, most of whom have been exceptionally kind to me over the years, when I look at what happened to Bert Blyleven for all those years, I detect a frightening lack of seriousness.
For much more about Blyleven and the Hall of Fame, just poke around Baseball Analysts.
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Comments
Not to pick nits, but despite multiple media accounts of Rich Lederer’s one-man campaign, there were many other writers who participated. It’s not like Lederer was making the argument all by himself or even made it best. But he made it the most, and he made it relentlessly.
Most of all, he relentlessly recruited other, more influential writers to the cause. I believe that recruitment ultimately is what made the difference to HOF voters. So let’s not celebrate Lederer’s one-main campaign — which it wasn’t — but rather Lederer as the impressively leader of a campaign that eventually involved a few dozen writers and won over hundreds more.
by Jay on Jul 24, 2011 10:12 AM EDT reply actions
Time to work on Tim Raines
Another one of the more egregious snubs out there.
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by John Armbruster Bowen on Jul 24, 2011 10:31 AM EDT reply actions
I second that.
by ObsidianXIII on Jul 24, 2011 11:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Location, Location, Location
The fact that it took him this long is an excellent example of the difference between pitching for the Yankees and pitching for (in Blyleven’s case) the Twins, Rangers, Pirates, Indians, and Angels. Three months ago, people were contending that Andy Pettitte should be considered for the Hall of Fame.
by Iow on Jul 25, 2011 8:57 AM EDT reply actions
Nice job, Rich.
Now relax for a couple months, smoke some cigars… and then get back in the fight for the next guy (or guys) who aren’t getting enough respect from Hall of Fame votes. They get it wrong too often for you to stop now.
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Just North of Wrigley Field
by jameslcrockett on Jul 25, 2011 2:17 PM EDT reply actions
What a joke
Blyleven should not be in the Hall of Fame. The Hall of Fame should not reward good players who just compile stats over a long period of time, in my opinion, it should be reserved for people who legitimately dominate the sport for a period of time. Albert Belle and Ron Guidry both deserve to be in the Hall more than Blyleven, who, it might be noted, LOST 250 games.
by joster23 on Jul 25, 2011 4:47 PM EDT reply actions
Guidry? Really?
Is this the same Guidry whose best season (1978) wasn’t as good as Blyleven’s (1973) and whose second best season (1979) wasn’t as good as Blyleven’s second, third, or fourth best seasons (1974, 1971, 1984)? And whose third best season (1983) ranks right up there with Blyleven’s tenth best (1981)? That Ron Guidry? (All season values from baseball references WAR)
Blyleven wasn’t just good for a longer period of time than was Guidry. He was better for a longer period of time.
by Genes on Jul 26, 2011 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions
2 points
First of all, I do not think in any way that Guidry should be in the Hall of Fame, I was merely pointing out he was more dominant at his peak. Guidry’s 78 season he was 25-3 with a 1.7 ERA and Blyleven’s best season was 20-17 with a 2.5. Not sure how you can argue Blyleven had a better year at his peak. Anyway, neither of them deserves to make it. My point was that Blyleven was never really a top dominant pitcher, see the fact that he made TWO all star games. The Hall of Fame should be reserved for GREAT players, not just good players who played for a while.
by joster23 on Jul 28, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Blyleven and the HOF
Hi joster,
Last word to you (after this), but I wanted to close with three points…
First, outside Year One the Hall of Fame has never been the Hall for the greatest of the great. It’s been the Hall of the Great, the very good, the good for a long time, and the famous. To paraphrase Bill James, doesn’t putting someone in the Hall of Fame who was significantly better than most of the people already in the Hall of Fame improve the status and quality of the Hall of Fame?
Second, on how I can say Blyleven was better than Guidry in 1973 vs. 1978… I was going with Baseball reference’s WAR.
Third, I don’t buy the idea that Guidry’s peak was higher than Blyleven’s unless you define the peak as ‘one season’ (and even then, going with WAR, I’m not sure I believe it). Blyleven pitched 50 more innings in ‘73 than Guidry did in ’78. That’s a huge difference, and it’s a difference you see year after year after year in comparing their careers.
Cheers regardless.
by Genes on Jul 28, 2011 5:09 PM EDT up reply actions
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