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Twins' Problems Piling Up Too Quickly

Apr 15, 2011 - In a piece titled "Maybe It Is Time To Panic In Minnesota," Dave Cameron writes:

It's not just the Twins' 4-8 start and early three game deficit to the White Sox that's the problem - it's all the issues associated with their roster that have arisen since opening day. As Joe wrote yesterday, Francisco Liriano's struggles are a legitimate concern, as his velocity is down and he's looked nothing like the pitcher who led the American League in xFIP a year ago. Tsuyoshi Nishioka is on the DL with a broken fibula, and the Twins weren't exactly deep up the middle to begin with. And now, news comes that Joe Mauer is going on the disabled list with "bilateral leg weakness", an an unusual diagnosis and one that leaves an open-ended time frame for his return.

Before the season, the best projections showed the Twins in essentially a dead heat with both the White Sox and the Tigers. In my infinite wisdom, I picked the Twins, mostly because they always seem to be there at the end of the season. But if Liriano's not good this season and Mauer's not Mauer ... Well, a full and healthy season from Justin Morneau would obviously help, but it's hard to figure how the Twins aren't the third best team in the division right now. At best. Not with Mauer out and Liriano struggling. You take an MVP candidate and a Cy Young candidate away from an 85-win team -- that's roughly where the Twins projected just a few weeks ago -- and what do you have? Seventy-five wins? At that point, are the Twins better than the Indians?

Of course, on the 15th of April this is mostly rank speculation. But Mauer's injury has to be a real concern. ESPN.com's Stephania Bell:

If Mauer has weakness in both legs -- meaning that strength testing reveals true deficits as opposed to his just feeling soreness -- the spectrum of possible causes raises the level of concern. Although there is too little information at this point to speculate about a cause, prognosis or timetable for return, what can be said is that it is highly unusual for both legs to become weak simultaneously. Typical orthopedic injuries such as strains, sprains, bruises and breaks, even pinched nerves tend to occur on one side of the body.

... Mauer is traveling to Baltimore to consult with his doctor. In 2009, when Mauer was unable to start the season because of inflammation in his sacroiliac joint (where the spine meets the pelvis), he consulted with a specialist (although what type of specialist was never revealed) ... in Baltimore.

This is probably where we have to mention that the Twins have invested a huge amount of money in Joe Mauer's future - $184 million: $23 million per season, from 2011 through 2018, when Mauer will turn 35.

When the Twins inked Mauer to the contract last year, it was widely hailed as something the franchise had to do. The failure to retain one of the game's best players -- and a hometown hero, to boot -- would have killed the Twins' ability to compete on the field, and in the stands. So the deal got done, with Mauer taking perhaps a little less than he might have gained on the open market. And nary a discouraging word was heard.

Every contract constitutes risk for the club. But considering Mauer's prior medical history and the general tendency for catchers to age less than gracefully, the Twins assumed an exceptionally large risk in this case.

Not that panicking will help. It won't make Mauer healthy, and panicking about the team's chances immediate situation probably won't lead to more wins.

If I'm a Twins fan, though? My knuckles are white, my fingernails already half-bitten.

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Rob Neyer

National Baseball Editor

Rob Neyer began his career with legendary baseball author Bill James, and later worked for STATS, Inc. and ESPN.com, writing more words for that website than anyone else. Rob has written or... Read full bio


Comments

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Great Article

The Twins always knew that Joe Mauer was a injury problem. However, that didn’t include bilateral leg weakness, and the Twins have been treating him like a fragile package. Exhibit number one is a Twins ad where Joe has his legs wrapped in bubble wrap and riding a hand truck.

by Jessy S on Apr 15, 2011 1:44 PM EDT reply actions  

It might be worth mentioning that in the worst case scenario

It may not be a lock that the Twins will be on the hook for Mauer’s entire salary and that it would constitute a total loss. First is that they may have an insurance policy to protect themself from something like this. Second, to paraphrase larry from South Side Sox, it may not be in Mauer’s best interest from a PR standpoint or from a standpoint of ever being able to work in any MLB capacity to play hardball with the Twins just because his contract is guaranteed.

by moroots on Apr 15, 2011 5:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Ha! He has the flu people

Mauer has the flu – and we’re writing the obituary to his career. And after only 12 games.

This is a team that was 7 games back in September of 2009 – including being back 3 with 4 left to play, yet they pulled it off – without Morneau or an ace pitcher.

With Matt Thornton’s 4 blown saves in 4 chances, even Ozzie knows the Sox have no closer. We have a long way to go!

The beard abides.

by Jason Kubel's Beard on Apr 15, 2011 8:00 PM EDT reply actions  

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